EPL betting picks, top odds & best value bets – May 11-12

The English Premier League is coming to a close and all eyes are on the top two. Liverpool are currently level with Manchester City for the title spot, but City have played one less game. Sure enough, they have a game this Wednesday, and while City will be heavily favored to win, the common fan will be rooting for a loss and the following chaos. Also, Arsenal will play Tottenham on Thursday in a game that will essentially decide who finishes in fourth. These are our top picks for this exciting batch of midweek EPL games.

Leeds United vs Chelsea

The moneyline here doesn’t make a whole lot of sense. Chelsea are miles better than Leeds, and while the Blues don’t need a win, they should still take care of business. Chelsea have nearly locked up a Champions League spot in what has been a tumultuous but otherwise successful season. They may not have the motivation of Leeds, but they have so much more talent, so the Peacocks’ leaky defense will be in for a long night.

There’s no denying Leeds will be desperate for a win. They are in a relegation spot with only 34 points through 35 games. However, that desperation can go both ways and they may be prone to taking too many risks. A team with the composure of Chelsea will feast on those mistakes. While Leeds will have home field advantage, that shouldn’t bother Chelsea too much. The Blues are way better and should win this game convincingly. While betting on them is pretty heavy, it’s still great value.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal

This has the makings of the best game of the week. Both of these teams hate each other and are duking it out for the fourth Champions League spot. A win from Arsenal, and it will be over. The Gunners are currently in fourth with 66 points through 35 games. Tottenham are in fifth with 62 points through 35 games. Both teams will be exceptionally motivated, so it’s set up to be a memorable fixture.

That said, Arsenal have been the better team and should be able to handle Tottenham’s attack. While they will be away, this +0.25 spread is very favorable to Arsenal bettors. Essentially, this cashes if the Gunners win or draw. That is very likely, as these teams match up very evenly and have been neck-and-neck all season. There is no love lost when these two teams match up, so the intensity should be awesome. Ultimately, in a game where it could either way, there is value in betting on the underdog, so take Arsenal and enjoy what should be a great back-and-forth fixture.

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