Hungarian MotoGP Balaton Park betting tips, predictions & odds

The 2025 MotoGP season heads east for the inaugural Hungarian Grand Prix, running from August 22–24 at the newly minted Balaton Park Circuit. Nestled near Lake Balaton in Hungary’s scenic Veszprém region, this tight and technical track is a relative unknown for most riders — but expect thrills as the title fight intensifies.

While Marc Márquez enters as a -357.14 favorite with online sportsbooks after another clinical performance last time out, there’s every chance of an upset at a track that levels the playing field.

A lack of historical data, combined with variable weather and Balaton Park’s flowing layout, means grid position could make or break a rider’s weekend.

Álex Márquez continues to shadow his older brother in the standings and remains Ducati’s most consistent threat. Meanwhile, Fermín Aldeguer has quietly built a reputation for late-season surges, and Johann Zarco is more than capable of springing a surprise when the bike hooks up — especially in wet or chaotic conditions.

2025 Hungarian MotoGP race winner odds

• Marc Márquez (ESP-Ducati) – -357.14
• Álex Márquez (ESP-Ducati) – +700
• Francesco Bagnaia (ITA-Ducati) – +900
• Marco Bezzecchi (ITA-Aprilia) – +1200
• Pedro Acosta (ESP-KTM) – +1600
• Fermín Aldeguer (ESP-Ducati) – +1600
• Enea Bastianini (ITA-KTM) – +3300
• Fabio Quartararo (FRA-Yamaha) – +4000
• Raúl Fernández (ESP-Aprilia) – +5000
• Franco Morbidelli (ITA-Ducati) – +5000
• Brad Binder (RSA-KTM) – +5000
• Johann Zarco (FRA-Honda) – +8000
• Maverick Viñales (ESP-KTM) – +8000
• Joan Mir (ESP-Honda) – +8000
• Jorge Martin (ESP-Aprilia) – +8000
• Fabio Di Giannantonio (ITA-Ducati) – +6600
• Jack Miller (AUS-Yamaha) – +20000
• Luca Marini (ITA-Honda) – +15000
• Miguel Oliveira (POR-Yamaha) – +30000
• Alex Rins (ESP-Yamaha) – +30000
• Ai Ogura (JPN-Aprilia) – +30000
• Aleix Espargaro (ESP-Aprilia) – +30000
• Daniel Pedrosa (ESP-KTM) – +30000
• Augusto Fernandez (ESP-KTM) – +75000
• Michele Pirro (ITA-Ducati) – +100000
• Lorenzo Savadori (ITA-Aprilia) – +100000
• Takaaki Nakagami (JPN-Honda) – +100000

• 

  Fast Payouts

Hungarian MotoGP betting picks

Álex Márquez to win

The younger Márquez had a subdued outing last round, finishing 10th, but don’t count him out just yet. With title hopes fading, this is a make-or-break weekend — and the Balaton Park circuit could suit his smooth style and Ducati package. If he rebounds strongly in qualifying, the +700 offers real value in an unpredictable field.

Fermín Aldeguer to win

Aldeguer has the tools to fly under the radar here. His practice pace has been sharp, and if conditions get messy, don’t be surprised if the +1600 shot carves up the field late.

Johann Zarco to win

The Frenchman always finds a way to surprise when expectations are low. With the unpredictable nature of Balaton Park and a solid P12 start, he’s a value bomb at +8000.

SPORTS BETTING PICKS