UFC 316 betting preview & best bets | June 7, 2025

A rematch between Merab Dvalishvili and Sean O’Malley headlines UFC 316 in Newark this Saturday night. See our top MMA betting picks for the whole card.

Sports Betting Tips

by Cayne Pitstock

June 5, 2025

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UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs O’Malley 2 Full Card Preview & Info
Main Event odds	Dvalishvili -263.16 at 888starz \| O’Malley +210 at Stake.com
When	Saturday, June 7 – main card from 10pm EDT
Where	Prudential Center – Newark, United States

UFC 316 is set for the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, on Saturday, June 7, 2025, featuring a stacked card headlined by two high-stakes title fights. The main event showcases a bantamweight championship rematch between reigning champion Merab Dvalishvili and former titleholder Sean O’Malley.

The co-main event features women’s bantamweight champion Julianna Peña defending her title against Kayla Harrison, a two-time Olympic judo gold medalist and former PFL champion.

There are 13 fights on the card, with the first starting at 6pm EDT and the main card set for 10pm.

Check out our full UFC betting preview and best bets for every fight below.

UFC 316 main card preview

Merab Dvalishvili v Sean O’Malley 2

Merab Dvalishvili (17-4) enters his second title defence riding a 12-fight win streak, and his trademark pressure-wrestling remains one of the most relentless weapons in MMA. The Georgian champion broke O’Malley in their first bout with a staggering 13 takedowns, smothering offence, and endless cardio. Even when tagged late in the fifth, Merab kept pushing forward, confident that his pace would outlast O’Malley’s flair. With his gas tank, chin and control time, he’ll look to repeat the same blueprint — drown O’Malley in volume and grind his way to another decision win.

Sean O’Malley (17-2) is out for revenge after dropping his belt to Merab last year and is reportedly fully healed from the hip injury that hampered him in their first fight. The lanky striker had his moments in the fifth round of the first bout, using his reach to land body kicks and a clean front snap that visibly hurt Merab. If “Suga” can maintain range and stop the takedowns, his striking could be the difference. But with a career takedown defence under 65%, he needs a flawless performance to flip the script.

Merab Dvalishvili by decision

-142.86 @ 888starz

Your Winz

Julianna Pena v Kayla Harrison

Julianna Pena (12-5) reclaimed her title in gritty fashion by edging out Raquel Pennington at UFC 307, showing once again why she’s one of the most durable and determined women in the division. Pena thrives in chaos and has shocked the world before, as seen in her upset submission of Amanda Nunes. But while she’s tough as nails, her takedown defence (23%) and vulnerability to control positions could spell trouble against a far more dominant grappler.

Kayla Harrison (18-1) is a two-time Olympic gold medallist in judo and arguably the most physically imposing athlete in women’s MMA. She’s averaging nearly three takedowns per 15 minutes with 68% control time across two UFC bouts. Her win over Holly Holm showed she can finish, while her decision over Ketlen Vieira proved she can go the distance. Against Pena’s porous takedown defence, expect Harrison to dominate with top control and hunt for a late submission.

Kayla Harrison by submission

+175 @ Stake.com

World's Largest!

Kelvin Gastelum v Joe Pyfer

Kelvin Gastelum (19-9) returns to middleweight after a short-lived stint at 170, where weight issues disrupted his plans. The former title challenger still has sharp hands and solid scrambles, but recent form and wear-and-tear are concerns against a power puncher like Pyfer.

Joe Pyfer (13-3) bounced back from a loss to Jack Hermansson with a brutal KO win over Marc-Andre Barriault. He’s still refining his ground game, and with Gastelum vulnerable to submissions, Pyfer may have more than one path to victory.

Joe Pyfer by submission

+375 @ Stake.com

Patchy Mix v Mario Bautista

Patchy Mix (20-1), a former Bellator champ, debuts with elite submission skills and a dangerous kicking game. He’ll look to control range and apply pressure before taking over in the later rounds.

Mario Bautista (15-2) rides a seven-fight win streak and thrives in high-paced, gritty bouts. He’ll aim to make it physical, but Mix’s finesse and finishing instincts may be the difference.

Patchy Mix by decision

+175 @ Stake.com

Vicente Luque v Kevin Holland

Vicente Luque (23-9-1) returns off a slick submission win and brings underrated finishing skills with crisp boxing and BJJ. He’s a proven warrior and a dangerous underdog bet with the top online sportsbooks in what should be a banger.

Kevin Holland (26-11) rebounded from a January loss with a win over Gunnar Nelson. With long reach and flashy tools, he’s dangerous — but reckless exchanges could cost him against Luque’s counter game.