US Open 2025 men’s final picks & predictions | Sinner v Alcaraz

Jannik Sinner takes on Carlos Alcaraz in the 2025 US Open men’s final in New York this Sunday, and the best tennis betting sites are forecasting another gripping contest between the pair.

Top sportsbook BetOnline has Sinner as a slight favorite at -125 to defend his title at Flushing Meadows, with Alcaraz paying +110 to improve on his impressive head-to-head record.

The Spaniard has triumphed in six of the last seven clashes between these two emerging superstars, with four of those victories coming in tournament finals.

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That said, they have shared the spoils across two meetings in Grand Slam deciders this year — Alcaraz at the French Open, Sinner at Wimbledon — and both come into the US Open final in strong form.

Alcaraz has been especially impressive, and a 6-4, 7-6, 6-2 victory over Novak Djokovic in the semifinals means he heads into the championship match without dropping a set so far.

Sinner has been dragged into a couple of four-setters, including a 6-1, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 result against No.25 seed Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semis, but the world No.1 has dominated for the most part.

Whichever way you look at it, this is shaping up to be a cracking contest, and there are plenty of interesting options to consider on the top US Open betting sites.

Sinner v Alcaraz US Open 2025 results

Jannik Sinner

• SF 6-1, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 vs F. Auger-Aliassime
• QF 6-1, 6-4, 6-2 vs L. Musetti
• R4 6-1, 6-1, 6-1 vs A. Bublik
• R3 5-7, 6-4, 6-4 6-3 vs D. Shapovalov
• R2 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 vs A. Popyrin
• R1 6-1, 6-1, 6-2 vs V. Kopriva

Carlos Alcaraz

• SF 6-4, 7-6, 6-2 vs N. Djokovic
• QF 6-4, 6-2, 6-4 vs J. Lehecka
• R4 7-6, 6-4, 6-4 vs A. Rinderknech
• R3 6-4, 6-2, 6-0 vs L. Darderi
• R2 6-1, 6-0, 6-3 vs M. Bellucci
• R1 6-4, 7-5, 6-4 vs R. Opelka

Sinner v Alcaraz best bets – US Open 2025 men’s final

Match winner – Carlos Alcaraz

The outsider odds for Alcaraz are too good to ignore. The world No.2 has the head-to-head advantage over Sinner, and he’s been no less impressive than his rival over the course of the tournament.

Total match sets – Five

Neither Alcaraz nor Sinner has used up too many tickets getting to the US Open final, so both should have plenty left in the tank. They spent just shy of five-and-a-half hours on court in the Roland Garros decider earlier this year, and another five-set epic is well within the realms of possibility.

Total match games – Over 40.5

With everything pointing to a back-and-forth affair, the over on total games is the smart play. The set scores were tight in the finals of both the French Open and Wimbledon, and even if it doesn’t go to five, it might only take one tiebreaker to tip the total over.