Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans betting odds and tips

Kickoff at 7:20pm CT (8:20pm ET)

Indianapolis Colts
Moneyline odds: +155 at Nags.bet Betting line: +3.5 at -111.11 Record (ATS): 6-4 (5-4-1)

Houston Texans
Moneyline odds: -170 at Nags.bet Betting line: -3.5 at -111.11 Record (ATS): 6-4 (5-5)

The Indianapolis Colts head to Houston in NFL Week 12 to face the Texans in an AFC South matchup where first place in the division is on the line.

The Texans are coming off a bad 41-7 loss to the Baltimore Ravens where they were dominated on both sides of the ball. They had won their previous two games and sit tied with the Colts atop the AFC South.

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The Colts had lost two in a row before their last game, which was a 33-13 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. They beat the Texans 30-23 in Indy earlier this season and have covered the spread in five of their last six games facing Houston.

The Colts are led by an offense that ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing yards per game. However, lead RB Marlon Mack, who rushed for 109 yards in the last game, is out for this clash due to a broken hand.

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Every game for these teams is important from here on out, as both are being chased by the 5-5 Tennessee Titans and 4-6 Jaguars.

After missing a game through injury, Jacoby Brissett was back under center in Indy’s win over Jacksonville and finished with 148 passing yards, a touchdown and an interception. The team rushed for 264 yards and the run defense also was great, holding Jax to only 29 yards on the ground.

Jonathan Williams came out of nowhere to rush for 116 yards against the Jags. He will be the lead RB for the trip to Texas, as Mack is not only out but Indy’s second-leading rusher, Jordan Wilkins, is also sidelined. Williams came into the Jacksonville game with only one rushing yard on the season.

The Colts will be facing a Houston defense – which ranks 29th against the pass and 13th against the run – that was torched last time out.

The Texans were outgained 491 yards to only 232 in the embarrassing loss to Baltimore, while Deshawn Watson passed for 169 yards with no touchdowns and an interception after passing for five touchdowns with no picks in his previous two games. Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson combined for 105 yards, with most of those yards coming on a 41-yard run from Hyde.

The Indianapolis defense had given up 42 points in two losses before only giving up 13 in the win over the Jags. Overall, their D ranks 12th in the league against the pass and ninth against the run.

Indianapolis Colts betting trends

• Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last six games facing teams from the AFC South
• Colts are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games facing teams with a winning record
• Colts are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games
• Colts are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 Thursday night games
• Colts have an Under record of 13-3 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record

Houston Texans betting trends

• Texans are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss
• Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games
• Texans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games facing teams with a winning record
• Texans have an Under record of 7-1 in their last eight games

Colts vs Texans head-to-head trends

• Colts are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven road games against the Texans
• Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Texans
• Road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games between these teams
• In the last seven games between these teams the Under record is 5-2

Colts @ Texans NFL betting picks

Houston Texans -3.5 at -111.11 with Nags.bet

The betting trends suggest the Colts are the pick, but that is not the case. Houston were thrashed in their last game, but they will bounce back at home with a strong display from their run defense. Indy will miss Mack and Wilkins as the Texans will win and cover to take sole possession of first place in the AFC South.